World Series 2025 Odds Analysis: Dodgers vs Blue Jays Betting Preview & Predictions
- Kimi

- 1 hour ago
- 3 min read

Game 1 odds at a glance
Moneyline / Run line / Total: Around Dodgers −155, Blue Jays +130; LAD −1.5 (+109); O/U 7.5 with a modest lean to the Over at many books.
Global book check: Pinnacle lists LAD ~1.666 decimal (≈ −150) and O 7.5 near 1.892.
Probable pitchers (G1): Blake Snell (LAD) vs Trey Yesavage (TOR). Snell gets the ball for L.A.; Toronto tabs the rookie Yesavage after his meteoric rise.
Why the market leans Dodgers
1) Rotation depth & swing‑and‑miss stuffL.A. can roll out Blake Snell, Shohei Ohtani, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Tyler Glasnow—a power mix that’s driven a huge strikeout rate this postseason. expert notes Dodgers starters have the highest whiff rate (39.4%) of the playoffs.
2) Recent formAnalysts widely make L.A. a favorite; for example, expert panel leans Dodgers to win the series, and multiple previews frame L.A. as the side with more paths to victory.
3) Bullpen endgameIn the late innings, the Dodgers can shorten games with Rōki Sasaki at the back end, a storyline highlighted in several previews.
4) Season context & H2HThese clubs met three times in 2025; Dodgers won the set 2–1. It’s a tiny sample—but it nudges perception toward L.A.
How Toronto can flip the script
1) Contact vs. whiffsThe Blue Jays led MLB in contact rate (80.5%) during the regular season and own the lowest K% (14.8%) of any postseason team—an ideal profile to neutralize L.A.’s swing‑and‑miss rotation. If that contact holds against elite stuff, the market gap tightens.
2) Hot stars in OctoberVladimir Guerrero Jr. took ALCS MVP and has been scorching through October; George Springer delivered the pennant‑clinching homer in Game 7. That duo must carry early games at Rogers Centre.
3) Matchup pieces out of the penESPN points out Toronto’s lefty relief options to attack L.A.’s left‑handed thump (e.g., Ohtani, Freeman). If those pockets are won, Toronto’s path in close games improves.
4) Home‑field leverageGames 1–2 (and 6–7, if needed) are in Toronto. Bank a split—or better—before the set swings to L.A.
Series props you’ll actually see on boards
Exact outcome (illustrative prices)
Dodgers in 5 +330, Dodgers in 6 +380, Dodgers in 7 +475
Blue Jays in 7 +550, Dodgers in 4 +600, Blue Jays in 6 +700, Blue Jays in 5 +1200, Blue Jays in 4 +2000.
MVP market (pre‑G1)
Shohei Ohtani ranges +160 to +180 (favorite)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. often ~+600; George Springer ~+1000–1100; Freddie Freeman ~+900–1400; Mookie Betts ~+1500–2000.
Correlation angle: If you like Toronto to win the series at around +185 to +198, consider Vladdy MVP in the +600 neighborhood as a higher‑payoff correlated view. Conversely, Dodgers series plus Ohtani/Freeman MVP is a classic pairing. (Shop prices; they vary by book.)
Tonight’s matchup: what the numbers imply
Moneyline: Dodgers −155 (~60.8% implied) vs Blue Jays +130 (~43.5% implied). The difference reflects both L.A.’s starter edge (Snell) and market skepticism toward a rookie (Yesavage) in his World Series debut.
Total 7.5 (Over shaded at some books) suggests respect for both staffs—and for Snell’s dominant form entering the Series.
Roster notes to know
Bo Bichette (knee) made Toronto’s World Series roster; Clayton Kershaw is active for L.A.
The Dodgers tweaked the bullpen for G1, adding Edgardo Henriquez and Will Klein; Alex Vesia is out due to a personal matter.
Quick schedule & viewing context
Game 1 and 2 are in Toronto, then the series shifts to Los Angeles for Games 3–5, with Games 6–7 back in Toronto if needed. Broadcast is on FOX (8:00 p.m. ET).
Verdict
Books price this as Dodgers ~68–70% to repeat—driven by rotation depth and strikeout upside, plus a strong late‑inning plan. Toronto’s counterpunch is elite contact, red‑hot middle‑order bats, and early home‑field leverage. If you’re leaning Dodgers, the market‑standard series price (around −215 to −229) is in line with model‑based previews; if you’re hunting plus‑money variance, Blue Jays exact‑result in 7 or Vladdy MVP are the clearest correlated alternatives. Shop across books; prices move quickly on World Series day.



